SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Norway had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Norway win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scotland | Draw | Norway |
39.97% ( -2.28) | 26.51% ( -0.13) | 33.52% ( 2.4) |
| Both teams to score 52.14% ( 1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.34% ( 1.16) | 52.66% ( -1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.69% ( 0.98) | 74.3% ( -0.99) |
| Scotland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% ( -0.67) | 25.86% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.16% ( -0.91) | 60.84% ( 0.91) |
| Norway Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% ( 2.21) | 29.66% ( -2.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.29% ( 2.6) | 65.71% ( -2.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scotland | Draw | Norway |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.7) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.62)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.34)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.96% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.36)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.43)0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.42)1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.35)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.52% |
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