SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 66.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 14.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Rotherham United |
66.51% ( 1.45) | 19.07% ( -0.72) | 14.41% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 53.14% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.96% ( 1.75) | 40.04% ( -1.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.59% ( 1.79) | 62.4% ( -1.79) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.82% ( 0.91) | 11.17% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.34% ( 1.94) | 35.66% ( -1.94) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.82% ( 0.09) | 40.17% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.19% ( 0.09) | 76.81% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 2-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.43)2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.17)Other @ 4.07% Total : 66.52% | 1-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.38) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.07% | 0-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.36% 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.75% Total : 14.41% |
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