SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Rotherham United |
52.92% ( -0.04) | 23.71% ( -0.05) | 23.37% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.13% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.19% ( 0.29) | 46.81% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.93% ( 0.27) | 69.07% ( -0.27) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.35% ( 0.09) | 17.65% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.75% ( 0.16) | 48.25% ( -0.16) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.73% ( 0.24) | 34.27% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.03% ( 0.25) | 70.97% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.64% Total : 52.92% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.71% | 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 23.37% |
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