In a match between two League One sides, we expect a close game that will present its fair share of opportunities.
On this occasion, Peterborough will narrowly secure a victory and progress to the third round of the FA Cup.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.03) 
