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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
York City

Shipley (2'), Leahy (45+3' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Duku (45+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: York City 0-2 Southend
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League

We said: Shrewsbury Town 2-0 York City

This game brings two teams in similar form against each other, and as the cliche goes, anything can happen in the cup. Both sides have struggled in front of goal this season, however, we think Shrewsbury's League One quality will shine through here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for York City had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest York City win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Shrewsbury Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shrewsbury Town.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawYork City
44.66% (0.156 0.16) 24.44% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 30.89% (-0.142 -0.14)
Both teams to score 58.04% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.43% (-0.012 -0.01)44.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.06% (-0.012 -0.01)66.94% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.92% (0.064000000000007 0.06)20.08% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.68% (0.101 0.1)52.32% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)27.37% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.17% (-0.129 -0.13)62.83% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 44.66%
    York City 30.89%
    Draw 24.44%
Shrewsbury TownDrawYork City
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.08% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.79% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 44.66%
1-1 @ 11.43%
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 30.89%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Charlton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 MK Dons
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: York City 0-2 Southend
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: York City 1-1 Chesterfield
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 2-1 York City
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: York City 1-1 Dag & Red
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: York City 1-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 1-0 York City
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in National League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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