Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 52.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 23.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.12) 
