Besiktas are favorites heading into this fixture and will see this as a great opportunity to bounce back from last weekend's defeat. They have been dominant in this fixture and are the fourth-best team on the road. While they have struggled on their visits to Gaziantep, we think they will get a win here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
-0.11) 
0.05) 
