SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colo-Colo | Draw | River Plate |
40.79% ( 0.24) | 25.12% ( 0.5) | 34.08% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 56.92% ( -1.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.43% ( -2.46) | 46.56% ( 2.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.16% ( -2.35) | 68.84% ( 2.35) |
| Colo-Colo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% ( -0.95) | 22.71% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.62% ( -1.43) | 56.38% ( 1.43) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.65% ( -1.59) | 26.35% ( 1.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.51% ( -2.18) | 61.49% ( 2.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colo-Colo | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.66) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.23% Total : 40.8% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.6)2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.24% Total : 34.08% |
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