Two Calcio heavyweights are slightly undercooked ahead of their summertime contest in California, and with new signings still settling in, the outcome is tough to call. As Milan have recruited more impressively and have improved the balance of their squad, they can beat Juventus once again, after doing the double over them in the league last term.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%).
-0.09) 
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