SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 59.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 18.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
59.06% ( -0.55) | 22.58% ( 0.3) | 18.36% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 50.25% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.73% ( -0.89) | 48.27% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.58% ( -0.82) | 70.42% ( 0.82) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.01% ( -0.49) | 15.99% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.69% ( -0.9) | 45.31% ( 0.9) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.82% ( -0.23) | 40.18% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.19% ( -0.21) | 76.82% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.14% Total : 59.05% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.58% | 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.08% Total : 18.36% |
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