Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 65.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 12.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.85%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.03) 
