Greek Superleague | Gameweek 4

Apr 9, 2023 at 4pm UK

OPEL ARENA

AEK Athens
3 - 1
Aris

Garcia (36' pen.), Zuber (82', 90+5')
Gacinovic (21'), Fernandes (86'), Rota (86'), Tzavellas (90+4'), Mantalos (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Iturbe (45+1')
Etebo (24'), Iturbe (38'), Dabo (86'), Camacho (86'), Christodoulopoulos (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between AEK Athens and Aris Thessaloniki.

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Athens

All competitions

Last Game: Volos 0-1 AEK Athens
Wednesday, April 5 at 4pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Aris Thessaloniki

All competitions

Last Game: Aris 0-1 Panathinaikos
Wednesday, April 5 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 67.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 12.73%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.

Result
AEK Athens	Draw	Aris Thessaloniki
67.84% ( 0.01)	19.43% ( -0)	12.73% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.21% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.53% (

-0)

45.47% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.2% (

-0)

67.8% (

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.61% (

12.39% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.73% (

0.01)

38.27% (

-0)

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.89% (

-0.02)

46.11% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.2% (

-0.01)

81.8% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

AEK Athens 67.83%

Aris Thessaloniki 12.73%

Draw 19.43%

AEK Athens	Draw	Aris Thessaloniki
2-0 @ 12.45% 1-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.67% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.71% 4-0 @ 4.53% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.89% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.09% Total : 67.83%	1-1 @ 9.24% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 19.43%	0-1 @ 4.42% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.14% Total : 12.73%