Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 52.84%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
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