Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.