SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Lamia had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Lamia win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Lamia |
60.47% ( -6.14) | 22.46% ( 2.05) | 17.07% ( 4.1) |
| Both teams to score 48.21% ( 3.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.26% ( -0.66) | 49.74% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.25% ( -0.6) | 71.75% ( 0.6) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.97% ( -2.18) | 16.02% ( 2.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.63% ( -4.15) | 45.37% ( 4.15) |
| Lamia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.41% ( 5.39) | 42.58% ( -5.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.06% ( 4.27) | 78.94% ( -4.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Lamia |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% ( -0.64) 2-0 @ 11.44% ( -1.54)2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 6.98% ( -1.58)3-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.32)4-0 @ 3.2% ( -1.03)4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.38)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.24)5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.5)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.23)Other @ 2.02% Total : 60.47% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 1.01) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.67)Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.45% | 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.95) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 1.01)0-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.69)1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.43)2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.33)Other @ 1.72% Total : 17.07% |
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