Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Atromitos had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Atromitos win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
0.45) 
-0.16) 
