SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 2-1 (8.01%). The likeliest PAOK win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Panathinaikos | Draw | PAOK |
40.98% ( 0.27) | 28.93% ( 0.03) | 30.09% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 44.05% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.65% ( -0.2) | 62.35% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18% ( -0.14) | 81.99% ( 0.14) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.08% ( 0.06) | 29.91% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.98% ( 0.07) | 66.01% ( -0.07) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.85% ( -0.34) | 37.15% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.06% ( -0.34) | 73.93% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panathinaikos | Draw | PAOK |
| 1-0 @ 13.41% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.43% Total : 40.98% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.93% | 0-1 @ 11% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.78% Total : 30.09% |
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