SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for MTK had a probability of 18.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a MTK win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ferencvaros | Draw | MTK |
60.86% ( 0.05) | 21.01% ( -0.02) | 18.12% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.93% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.17% ( 0.02) | 41.82% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.77% ( 0.02) | 64.23% ( -0.02) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.71% ( 0.02) | 13.29% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.89% ( 0.04) | 40.11% ( -0.05) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.35% ( -0.03) | 36.64% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.57% ( -0.03) | 73.43% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ferencvaros | Draw | MTK |
| 2-1 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.36% 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 60.86% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.87% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.01% | 1-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 18.12% |
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