Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Diosgyor had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Diosgyor win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
MTK	Draw	Diosgyor
42.39% ( 0)	24.06% ( 0.01)	33.54% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 60.53% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.2% (

-0.06)

41.79% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.8% (

-0.06)

64.2% (

0.05)

MTK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06% (

-0.02)

19.93% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.92% (

-0.04)

52.08% (

0.03)

Diosgyor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.6% (

-0.04)

24.4% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.18% (

-0.05)

58.81% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

MTK 42.39%

Diosgyor 33.54%

Draw 24.06%

MTK	Draw	Diosgyor
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 42.39%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.06%	1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.54%