SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 65.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Myanmar had a probability of 14.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a China win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Myanmar win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that China would win this match.
| Result | ||
| China | Draw | Myanmar |
65.36% ( -0.09) | 20.31% ( 0.05) | 14.33% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.72% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.21% ( -0.11) | 45.79% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.89% ( -0.1) | 68.11% ( 0.1) |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.8% ( -0.06) | 13.2% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.07% ( -0.12) | 39.93% ( 0.12) |
| Myanmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.13% ( -0) | 43.87% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.99% ( -0) | 80.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| China | Draw | Myanmar |
| 2-0 @ 11.87% 1-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 65.35% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.83% Total : 20.31% | 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.11% 1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 1.41% Total : 14.33% |
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