SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuba win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Dominican Republic win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dominican Republic | Draw | Cuba |
36.65% ( -0.02) | 24.23% ( 0.01) | 39.12% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.56% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.97% ( -0.02) | 42.03% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.56% ( -0.02) | 64.43% ( 0.02) |
| Dominican Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.19% ( -0.02) | 22.8% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.49% ( -0.02) | 56.51% ( 0.02) |
| Cuba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% ( -0.01) | 21.55% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.37% ( -0.01) | 54.63% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dominican Republic | Draw | Cuba |
| 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 36.65% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.38% 2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.68% 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 39.12% |
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