SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 64.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 14.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Egypt in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Egypt.
| Result | ||
| Egypt | Draw | Liberia |
64.27% ( 0.18) | 21.69% ( -0.05) | 14.04% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 43.85% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.03% ( -0.06) | 51.97% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.29% ( -0.05) | 73.71% ( 0.05) |
| Egypt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.47% ( 0.04) | 15.52% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.55% ( 0.08) | 44.44% ( -0.08) |
| Liberia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.91% ( -0.24) | 48.08% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.71% ( -0.18) | 83.29% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Egypt | Draw | Liberia |
| 1-0 @ 13.9% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 64.26% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.69% | 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 14.04% |
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