Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Central African Republic had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.19%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest Central African Republic win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
