SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Benin | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 68.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Benin had a probability of 11.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.61%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Benin win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Benin |
68.81% ( 0.24) | 19.68% ( -0.14) | 11.51% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 42.72% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.53% ( 0.3) | 49.47% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.49% ( 0.27) | 71.51% ( -0.27) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.69% ( 0.17) | 13.31% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.84% ( 0.33) | 40.16% ( -0.32) |
| Benin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.29% ( 0.01) | 50.71% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.85% ( 0.01) | 85.15% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Benin |
| 2-0 @ 13.72% 1-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.32% 3-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 68.8% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 19.68% | 0-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.23% Total : 11.51% |
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