SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 71.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 10.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.09%) and 3-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Sierra Leone |
71.05% ( 0.04) | 18.51% ( 0) | 10.44% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.77% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.64% ( -0.12) | 47.36% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.42% ( -0.11) | 69.58% ( 0.11) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.96% ( -0.02) | 12.04% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.47% ( -0.05) | 37.53% ( 0.05) |
| Sierra Leone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.62% ( -0.15) | 51.38% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.41% ( -0.1) | 85.6% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Sierra Leone |
| 2-0 @ 13.86% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.19% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 71.05% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.53% Total : 18.51% | 0-1 @ 4.12% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 10.44% |
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