SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyrgyzstan win with a probability of 48.19%. A win for Philippines had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kyrgyzstan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Philippines win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kyrgyzstan | Draw | Philippines |
48.19% ( 0.32) | 24.46% ( -0.04) | 27.35% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 55.65% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.33% ( -0.01) | 46.67% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.06% ( -0.01) | 68.94% ( 0.01) |
| Kyrgyzstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.56% ( 0.13) | 19.44% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.72% ( 0.21) | 51.27% ( -0.21) |
| Philippines Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% ( -0.21) | 30.93% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.78% ( -0.25) | 67.22% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kyrgyzstan | Draw | Philippines |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 48.19% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 27.35% |
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