Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 15.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.6%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.