SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Chile had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morocco | Draw | Chile |
61.62% ( -0.08) | 21.22% ( 0.06) | 17.15% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.25% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.58% ( -0.24) | 44.42% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.21% ( -0.24) | 66.79% ( 0.24) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.11% ( -0.1) | 13.89% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.69% ( -0.2) | 41.3% ( 0.2) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.68% ( -0.13) | 39.32% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.98% ( -0.12) | 76.02% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Morocco | Draw | Chile |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 7% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 61.62% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.22% | 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.7% 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.15% |
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