World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Third Round | 1st Leg

Mar 25, 2022 at 3pm UK

Congo DR
1 - 1
Morocco

(Morocco win 5-2 on aggregate)

Wissa (12')
Muzinga (30')
Muzinga (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tissoudali (76')
Aguerd (15'), Mmaee (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Congo DR and Morocco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

Last Six:

Last Game: Sudan 2-1 Congo DR
Wednesday, June 8 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Congo DR vs. Mauritania
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Morocco

Last Six:

Last Game: USA 3-0 Morocco
Thursday, June 2 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Morocco vs. South Africa
Thursday, June 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

We said: Congo DR 1-1 Morocco

Morocco boast the better team on paper, but Congo DR's home form could see them come away with a point in what should be an enthralling affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Congo DR had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Congo DR win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Congo DR	Draw	Morocco
35.7%	26.62%	37.68%

Both teams to score 52.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.19%

52.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.56%

74.43%

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.62%

28.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.88%

64.12%

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.8%

27.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.38%

62.62%

Score Analysis

Congo DR 35.7%

Morocco 37.68%

Draw 26.61%

Congo DR	Draw	Morocco
1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 6.12% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.7%	1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.72% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 8.24% 0-2 @ 6.54% 1-3 @ 3.58% 0-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.68%