SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 8 | 26 | 22 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Greece | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | -41 | 0 |
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 10 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | Israel | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 4 | Belarus | 10 | -5 | 12 |
| 5 | Kosovo | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Andorra | 10 | -17 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Republic of Ireland | Draw | Switzerland |
37.07% ( 0.03) | 26.56% ( 0.01) | 36.36% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.43% ( -0.06) | 52.56% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.78% ( -0.05) | 74.22% ( 0.04) |
| Republic of Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.56% ( -0.01) | 27.44% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.08% ( -0.01) | 62.92% ( 0.01) |
| Switzerland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% ( -0.06) | 27.85% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.54% ( -0.07) | 63.45% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Republic of Ireland | Draw | Switzerland |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.96% Total : 37.07% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 36.36% |
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