SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uruguay | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Saudi Arabia | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Russia | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Egypt | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| Current League B2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Russia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Israel | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Albania had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Albania win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Albania |
48.96% ( 0.06) | 23.49% ( -0.04) | 27.55% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.12% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.83% ( 0.2) | 42.17% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.43% ( 0.2) | 64.57% ( -0.19) |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.61% ( 0.1) | 17.39% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.19% ( 0.17) | 47.81% ( -0.16) |
| Albania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.56% ( 0.09) | 28.44% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.8% ( 0.12) | 64.2% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Albania |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.41% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.9% Total : 48.96% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 27.55% |
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