Portugal will have fresh legs for this contest, but there will be some key players missing for Martinez's side. Slovenia struggled against Malta last time out, and we are predicting more frustration for the hosts here, as Portugal's quality should allow them to post a 12th straight victory under Martinez. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 61.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 16.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Slovenia win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Slovenia	Draw	Portugal
16.71% ( 0.07)	21.86% ( 0.01)	61.43% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 49.33% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.14% (

0.1)

47.86% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.96% (

0.09)

70.04% (

-0.09)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.09% (

0.15)

41.91% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.64% (

0.13)

78.36% (

-0.13)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.93% (

0.01)

15.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.41% (

0.01)

43.59% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Slovenia 16.71%

Portugal 61.43%

Draw 21.85%

Slovenia	Draw	Portugal
1-0 @ 5.49% 2-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 16.71%	1-1 @ 10.39% 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.85%	0-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 11.31% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7.14% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.2% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 61.43%