Tanzania crashed out of AFCON at the group stage but showed the ability to compete with the likes of semi-finalist DR Congo whilst in the competition.
Bulgaria endured a fruitless 2023, but with a host of rising stars within their ranks, we are backing the Lions to start 2024 with a narrow victory.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 35.99%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 0-1 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bulgaria would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.01) 
