J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 10, 2023 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
Nakamura (52' og.)
Moriya (15'), Kawata (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nakamura (43')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result |
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Consadole Sapporo |
38.51% ( -0.01) | 24.23% | 37.25% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.6% ( 0) |
58% ( 0.01) | 41.99% ( -0.01) |
35.6% ( 0) | 64.4% ( -0) |
78.16% ( -0) | 21.83% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.52% ( 0) | 22.47% ( -0) |