Girona deserve a lot of respect for their performance level in La Liga this season, but we are finding it difficult to back the visitors to pick up a positive result here. Michel's team are not strong travellers, while Athletic have been impressive at home this season, so we are backing a victory for Valverde's side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 63.78%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Girona had a probability of 14.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
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