Granada will be aiming to make it back-to-back wins on Friday, and the result over Alaves would certainly have boosted their confidence, but Athletic are so strong at home, and we are fully expecting the Lions to secure all three points in routine fashion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Granada had a probability of 11.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.88%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
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