Atletico have been utterly dominant in this fixture in recent years, and it is therefore very difficult to back against a home win. Getafe's recent form has also played a major role in this prediction, and we are ultimately backing Atletico to collect all three points in comfortable fashion this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.74%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 9.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.31%) and 3-0 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
0.93) 
-0.51) 
