Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 69.6%. A draw has a probability of 17.4% and a win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 12.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.61%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it is 1-2 (3.76%).
4.33) 
-1.62) 
