Three of the last four La Liga meetings between these two teams have finished level, including a 0-0 draw when they last locked horns at the home of Rayo.
Getafe only have one away win this term, while Rayo have just two victories at home, so we have had to settle on a share of the spoils here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.93%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 25.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.06) 
-0.01) 
