Five of the last six La Liga matches between these two sides have finished level, and we are finding it difficult to separate them once again. Espanyol will again be missing their leading goalscorer, but the home side have enough quality to claim a point against Celta this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Celta Vigo
35.81%	26.73%	37.46%

Both teams to score 51.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.7%

53.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.15%

74.84%

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.46%

28.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.67%

64.32%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.44%

27.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.92%

63.08%

Score Analysis

Espanyol 35.81%

Celta Vigo 37.45%

Draw 26.73%

Espanyol	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.81%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 6.53% 1-3 @ 3.52% 0-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.45%