Getafe have the seventh-best home record in La Liga this season, while Sevilla have the 14th-worst record on their travels. We are expecting Saturday's clash to be a competitive affair, and it would not be a surprise to see a draw, but we just have a feeling that Getafe will navigate their way to all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
-0.16) 
0.11) 
