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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
OL

Girona
2 - 0
Osasuna

Portu (13'), Savio (86')
Martin (35'), Garcia (58'), Portu (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Herrando (45'), Areso (72'), Gomez (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Girona
Sunday, March 3 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Alaves
Monday, March 4 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 2-1 Osasuna

This has the potential to be a very tricky match for Girona, as Osasuna are in excellent form and will arrive full of confidence. Girona have been strong at home this season, though, and we are backing the Catalan side to navigate their way to an important three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 17.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
GironaDrawOsasuna
60.72% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35) 21.33% (0.129 0.13) 17.95% (0.217 0.22)
Both teams to score 53.55% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.5% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)43.5% (0.212 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.11% (-0.21 -0.21)65.89% (0.208 0.21)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.13% (-0.175 -0.17)13.87% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.74% (-0.346 -0.35)41.26% (0.344 0.34)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.17% (0.122 0.12)37.83% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.4% (0.12 0.12)74.6% (-0.123 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Girona 60.71%
    Osasuna 17.95%
    Draw 21.32%
GironaDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 10.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.74% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.55% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.33% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 60.71%
1-1 @ 10.07% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.32%
0-1 @ 5.1% (0.064 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.9% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.48% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 17.95%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Girona
Sunday, March 3 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, February 26 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-2 Girona
Monday, February 19 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-0 Girona
Saturday, February 10 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 0-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, February 3 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Girona
Sunday, January 28 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Alaves
Monday, March 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Osasuna
Sunday, February 25 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Cadiz
Saturday, February 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-1 Osasuna
Saturday, February 10 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 0-3 Celta Vigo
Sunday, February 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Osasuna
Wednesday, January 31 at 6pm in La Liga


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