Barcelona may be struggling to find a consistent run of form, but they will take confidence from the fact that they have already beaten Osasuna on two occasions this season.
Having won nine of their last 10 top-flight home matches against Los Rojillos, we think that Barcelona will continue that fine record by claiming a narrow victory in Wednesday's contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 12.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
0.03) 
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