Almeria are certainly good enough to cause Real Sociedad problems this weekend, with the away side better than what they have shown for most of the season. The hosts are in strong form, though, and we are expecting them to secure all three points in routine fashion on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 16.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
-0.25) 
0.03) 
