Real Sociedad have won eight of their 11 away league matches this season, drawing just once, but we just have a feeling that Valencia could secure a share of the spoils here. Los Che's losing run is going to end at some stage, and an entertaining contest at Mestalla could finish in a high-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.02) 
