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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 31, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la CerĂ¡mica
VL

Villarreal
2 - 1
Valencia

Chukwueze (45'), Foyth (88')
Foyth (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cavani (21')
Musah (35'), Comert (56'), Moriba (73'), Cavani (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: CD Guijuelo 1-2 Villarreal
Tuesday, December 20 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Nott'm Forest
Friday, December 16 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Villarreal 1-1 Valencia

As mentioned, there has not been a draw between these two sides since September 2018, with each of the last seven La Liga meetings producing a winner. However, we are struggling to separate them here, as Valencia will be full of confidence following their success over Real Betis before the campaign was halted. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 19.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawValencia
57.02% (-0.738 -0.74) 23.26% (0.117 0.12) 19.72% (0.623 0.62)
Both teams to score 50.46% (0.67400000000001 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (0.374 0.37)49.17% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (0.337 0.34)71.24% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.98% (-0.126 -0.13)17.02% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.85% (-0.224 -0.22)47.15% (0.224 0.22)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.81% (0.902 0.9)39.19% (-0.902 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.1% (0.834 0.83)75.9% (-0.833 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 57.01%
    Valencia 19.72%
    Draw 23.26%
VillarrealDrawValencia
1-0 @ 11.81% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 10.45% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.17% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.73% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 57.01%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 23.26%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.18% (0.151 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.097 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 19.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: CD Guijuelo 1-2 Villarreal
Tuesday, December 20 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-1 Villarreal
Thursday, December 15 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Galatasaray 3-4 Villarreal
Tuesday, December 6 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Espanyol 0-1 Villarreal
Wednesday, November 9 at 7pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 0-2 Mallorca
Sunday, November 6 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-0 Villarreal
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Nott'm Forest
Friday, December 16 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Valencia 3-0 Betis
Thursday, November 10 at 7pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Valencia
Sunday, November 6 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-1 Barcelona
Saturday, October 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Mallorca
Saturday, October 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Valencia
Tuesday, October 18 at 6pm in La Liga


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