SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 69.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 11.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | Drogheda United |
69.28% ( -1.35) | 19.08% ( 0.69) | 11.64% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 44.97% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.34% ( -1.25) | 46.65% ( 1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.08% ( -1.19) | 68.92% ( 1.19) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.66% ( -0.73) | 12.33% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.85% ( -1.56) | 38.14% ( 1.56) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.29% ( 0.4) | 48.7% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.26% ( 0.29) | 83.74% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 2-0 @ 13.15% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.3)2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.31)4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.19)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.98% Total : 69.27% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.63% Total : 19.08% | 0-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.51% Total : 11.64% |
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