SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
61.62% ( 0.87) | 22.37% ( -0.18) | 16.01% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 46.33% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.89% ( -0.44) | 51.11% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.04% ( -0.38) | 72.96% ( 0.39) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.89% ( 0.14) | 16.11% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.48% ( 0.26) | 45.52% ( -0.26) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.22% ( -1.17) | 44.78% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.24% ( -0.96) | 80.76% ( 0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 13.17% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.33)2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 61.62% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.69% Total : 22.37% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.45% Total : 16.01% |
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