SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Drogheda United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Dundalk |
38.39% ( 0.67) | 25.97% ( -0.05) | 35.64% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 54.28% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.91% ( 0.21) | 50.09% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.94% ( 0.18) | 72.06% ( -0.18) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% ( 0.47) | 25.54% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.6% ( 0.63) | 60.4% ( -0.63) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% ( -0.26) | 27.1% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.51% ( -0.34) | 62.48% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.39% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.64% |
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