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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 33
Oct 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tolka Park
D

Shelbourne
1 - 0
Dundalk

Jarvis (4')
Wood (37'), Farrell (75'), Ledwidge (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kelly (27'), Horgan (45'), Davies (45+1'), Brownlie (70'), O'Donnell (75'), Martin (81'), Malley (90+7')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Shelbourne and Dundalk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shamrock 1-0 Shelbourne
Friday, September 29 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 3-1 Drogheda
Friday, September 29 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shelbourne in this match.

Result
ShelbourneDrawDundalk
46.23% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 25.12% (0.0019999999999989 0) 28.65% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.32% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)48.68% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.21% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)70.79% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Shelbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92%21.08% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.1% (0.0039999999999978 0)53.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)31% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.69% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)67.3% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Shelbourne 46.23%
    Dundalk 28.65%
    Draw 25.11%
ShelbourneDrawDundalk
1-0 @ 10.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 46.23%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.65%
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 28.65%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Shamrock 1-0 Shelbourne
Friday, September 29 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Bohemians 1-1 Shelbourne
Monday, September 25 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 2-1 Cork City
Friday, September 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 2-1 St Patrick's
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Sligo 0-1 Shelbourne
Saturday, August 26 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-1 Shamrock
Friday, August 11 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 3-1 Drogheda
Friday, September 29 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 5-0 Cork City
Monday, September 25 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 3-1 Dundalk
Friday, September 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 1-3 Derry
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shamrock 1-0 Dundalk
Friday, August 25 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 1-0 Sligo
Friday, August 11 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier


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